If so, I see no reason as to why that success won’t be replicated this time when the disillusionment with Australia’s current state of affairs is significantly higher. Given the anger at the Nationals over the Barnaby Joyce affair, I would think Oakeshott should gain this seat. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-19/former-federal-independent-rob-oakeshott-on-the-2019-campaign/7858314, https://www.nambuccaguardian.com.au/story/6050235/meet-the-other-independent-candidate-for-cowper/?cs=736, https://www.nambuccaguardian.com.au/story/6056806/greens-candidate-says-election-will-be-fought-on-climate-change/, https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/nationals-face-climate-change-backlash-internal-polling-reveals-20190312-p513lv.html, NSW state redistribution – draft maps released, Podcast #47: Queensland election, the next day. Well that’s a surprise !!!
Are you an individualist, or a collectivist ? What would motivate them !!?? Lyne and New England are both conservative voting areas and they didn’t care that their Independent MPs put a Labor government in. Consequently i read his stuff pretty critically.

Retiring members. The divisional returning officer for Cowper, Barbara Tait, said the number of nominations was potentially the largest ever for the seat - and certainly the most in recent memory. Also making news, whats on: It is the almost spiritual purity of the cause. Is it $9 Billion or are we up to $12 Billion.
Votes for first preference in the first count for all candidates were: In the final two party preferred count Mr Oakeshott received 43.21 per cent of the final vote while Mr Conaghan remained the preferred candidate with 56.79 per cent of the vote for The Nationals. If you want a source for that, try Patrick Conaghan himself… He’s finding it pretty difficult to balance his electorate’s climate concerns with the coal push of the Nats: https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/nationals-face-climate-change-backlash-internal-polling-reveals-20190312-p513lv.html. The fact that Ray Hadley has been getting very vocal on radio recently suggests that the thought of Oakeshott returning to parliament is real. The seat of Cowper is home to 124,507 eligible voters, with 91.90 per cent lodging a vote in the election.

However, I think voters, while never forgetting the disasters of Gillard and co, have moved on. In other words the status quo is predicted to remain for another three years – the Nationals having held Page since 2013 and Cowper since 2001. As with Tony Windsor, his big disadvantage is that he is seen my many as being aligned with the political left and not a genuine independent. In Kempsey on Wednesday, April 24, the Australian Electoral Commission officially declared there will be eight candidates, and then drew the ballot for the order of names on the voting paper for the Lower House. Some years ago in Farrer it was said that Tim Fischer was at risk because he was supporting a particular option for the Albury bypass. /images/transform/v1/crop/frm/xyfVshGek4Z7PqCkQg9FwW/d335f1d5-e777-44b5-ba4f-da7fca3bf5d6.JPG/r0_351_4928_3135_w1200_h678_fmax.jpg, Port Macquarie News' trusted source for property, 'No case' for Kempsey family's deportation: Cowper MP, Port Macquarie product reflects on NRLW debut with Dragons, Local artist delivers stunning Birpai welcome at region's gateway, Man tells police illicit drug GHB was "ear droppers", Lights and sirens for Lake Cathie with new ambulance station locked in, Hospital helipad upgrade lands in $10 million budget bonus. A new independent with name recognition IS hard to beat, but the problem for Oakeshott is that he is a known quantity and seen as being aligned with Labor and the Greens. This follows almost 100,000 additions to the roll in the week preceding the close of rolls, which has pushed the national enrolment rate to an extraordinary 96.8 per cent. “Article in OZ TODAY Oakeshott has committed to 100% renewables, with 50% by 2030. Cathy McGowan learned the lesson and made it quite clear she was not going to rock the confidence boat when the Libs went back into minority – she knew that Indi was not going to be up for handing Labor the keys to the Lodge.

This follows almost 100,000 additions to the roll in the week preceding the close of rolls, which has pushed the national enrolment rate to an extraordinary 96.8 per cent. Perhaps there is a bit of a shallow gene pool in the Nats. Andrew Woodward from the Labor Party drew fourth, Independent Robert Oakeshott fifth, Lauren Edwards from the Greens sixth, Kellie Pearce from the Animal Justice Party seventh while Independent Allan Green rounded out the candidates in eighth position. Pat Conaghan was a clear winner for Cowper after the electorate cast its vote in May. But they lose that effect straight away with the fact that Luke Hartsuyker is not standing, which means the loss of incumbency is cancelled by the favourable position. Page returned to government in 1940 as a minister, and again served as a minister from 1949 to 1956. All Oakeshott managed to do was reduce that by 5%.

He’ll need to double that this time and gain 1 in 6 if he is to win. Thankyou for your kind, & generous compliment on my “independent” thinking. All the talk I’ve seen is that this seat is gone for the Nats, I’d be very surprised if they won it. History Cowper was an original federation seat, and has almost always been held by conservative parties, with the Country/National Party holding it for all but two years since 1919. David Crowe has got problems, issues, enemies, & history. Clearly you do not. Page became Country Party leader in 1921 and led the party into government for the first time in 1922, forcing the senior Nationalists to drop Billy Hughes as Prime Minister. According to Antony Green's Swing Calculator the 27-28 April 2019 Newspoll results will see the Nationals retain the Page and Cowper electorates and Labor retain the Richmond electorate. A record 16,424,248 Australians are enrolled to vote in the 2019 federal election. He’s only there for the money. Oakeshott polled 56.1% in Bellingen. This time, the Nats have gone for a Port candidate, who has hardly visited Coffs in his campaign. Opinion polling over the last two years has shown public support for increasing renewables being over 70%, and rising. It turned out that there were actually swings TO the government in most rural seats including Myall Lakes, Port Macquarie, Oxley, Clarence and Tweed on the North Coast. In 1919, Thomson, then representing the Nationalists, was defeated by Earle Page, who joined the Country Party the next year. While you're with us, you can now receive updates straight to your inbox from the Port Macquarie News. Redistributed May 4, 2019 at 10:40 pm No thank you I have a long memory. For what it’s worth, Sky were quoting unnamed Nats sources yesterday who reckoned they were toast. Yes you are right that 70% of Australians love renewables. & it shows big time.

Page refused to serve in a government led by Lyons’ deputy Robert Menzies, but the Country Party rebelled and replaced Page with a new leader. The environment is perfect for Oakeshott.

He got all the soft votes last time, Peterjk23 Really excellent points. Cars are part of the family. Before 2013 he used to get huge numbers of crossover votes and had 2CPs of 60 or 70%. Following the declaration of the candidates, Ms Tait conducted a random draw to determine the positions on the ballot paper. Bill Shorten did it too. Thanks for saving me the trouble of the correction. Who actually knows ?? Not turning up for the Meet the Candidates function at Port Macquarie last night did not help Pat Conaghan. Renewables or no.

The article is really about the lack of leadership in the Nats. I want a work horse not a shallow show pony for my vote. Boaty1025 Sorry mate you’re not getting the numbers. Nehl retired in 2001, and was succeeded by Luke Hartsuyker. I predict 5% win. Perhaps he couldn’t even comprehend the position he was handed ?. This seat is still a live contest between Oakeshott and the Nats, but I think given the strength of the Nationals vote in Port Macquarie and Oxley at the state election, would put the Nats slightly ahead.

In February 2016, New South Wales federal electoral districts were redistributed. Should open this seat up for a real contest.


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